Yesterday Bush offered Vietnam as a cautionary tale for those urging troop withdrawals today.
"Three decades later, there is a legitimate debate about how we got into the Vietnam War and how we left," Bush said. "Whatever your position in that debate, one unmistakable legacy of Vietnam is that the price of America's withdrawal was paid by millions of innocent citizens whose agonies would add to our vocabulary new terms like 'boat people,' 're-education camps' and 'killing fields....Here at home, some can argue our withdrawal from Vietnam carried no price for American credibility, but the terrorists see it differently. We must listen to the words of the enemy."
In 2004 when asked if the growing insurgency in Iraq was comparable to Vietnam, Bush responded, "I think the analogy is false. I also happen to think that analogy sends the wrong message to our troops, and sends the wrong message to the enemy. Look, this is hard work. It's hard to advance freedom in a country that has been strangled by tyranny. And, yet, we must stay the course, because the end result is in our nation's interest.
A secure and free Iraq is an historic opportunity to change the world and make America more secure. A free Iraq in the midst of the Middle East will have incredible change. It's hard -- freedom is not easy to achieve. We had a little trouble in our country achieving freedom. And we've been there a year......And we're making progress."
In 2004, is was a false analogy, In 2007 Bush's speechwriters, desperately looking for rhetorical hooks, have come up with killing fields, boat people and re-education camps as the new neo-con battle cry.
Last month, another set of speechwriters repeated over and over again that we needed to remain in Iraq to defeat Al-Qaeda whose leaders were living in the caves in Northwest Pakistan.
Ignore history. Delete last week's talking points for new ones. Throw something on the wall to see if it sticks. Desperate men resort to desperate measures.
Any military historian will argue that Vietnam is nothing like Iraq. I would contend there are many parallels but NOT in the way Bush and his sycophants are trying to argue. Most importantly, our involvement in Vietnam was flawed and doomed from the beginning and our continuing efforts to reinvent our Iraq policy will fail as well.
Our secret "incursions" into Cambodia indirectly led to the killing fields. Our efforts to install, support and defend a corrupt military and unpopular gov't. in Saigon for over two decades gave the North Vietnamese and Viet Cong plenty of enemies needing reeducation or reasons for American sponsored Vietnamese to get on boats and flee. Vietnam in the minds of most Vietnamese was a war fought for liberation and unification. In minds of the vast majority of Iraqis we are fighting a war of occupation. History tells us that we clearly are on the wrong side.
In regards to the apparent buzz about the successes of the surge, permit me to offer a few simple reminders. I am not surprised that our military has been able to reduce levels of violence and kill many of the worst of the insurgents. The purpose of the surge, the goal of the surge, the justification for the surge was to create enough stability for the civilian Iraqi government to go about the important business of reconciliation among Shiites, Kurds and Sunnis. Reducing the level of violence in Baghdad and outlying Sunni Provinces was intended to create enough stability in the near term for Maliki et al to get their house in order. We do not have the troop levels or a trained and reliable Iraqi military to sustain in the future successes we have achieved in the in the past few months. The political benchmarks have not been met or will never be met.
So we have some military success and no political progress. Fatboy predicted that the surge ultimately is a cynical effort to keep the war going until the next US President is inaugurated. I also predict that many neo-cons will quietly look for ways to disappear Maliki and find fellow travelers who will follow orders delivered by strategists at the American Enterprise Institute housed in Bush's fuhrerbunker. Rumors are already swirling about a possible coup to dissappear the Maliki gov't.
By the time Petreaus makes his report, Bush and his sycophants will declare the surge a success and demand another six months to advance the political goals not attained in the past six months.
I will not be surprised to hear Bush's speechwriters come up with a new analogy, not to Vietnam or Korea, but to the Whiskey Rebellion on 1794. After all, Iraq, like early America, is a weak democracy that needs strong leaders to establish order out of chaos. Keep throwing, something will stick!